Only the unlikely chance of heavy rainfall at harvest, which is already under way, may lower current estimates.
CBH, which markets grain and dominates storage and export logistics in the state, estimates total production this crop year ending March 31 at 12.5 million metric tons.
If achieved the second-highest on record but still down from a range 13 million-14 million tons estimated a week ago by the state government’s Department of Agriculture.
Typically, 70% of grain produced in the state is wheat, which based on these figures suggests wheat production this crop year in a range 8.8 million-9.8 million tons.
Nearly the entire crop is available for export, doubling from drought-reduced output in 2010-11 of 4.7 million.