Rabobank: overall input costs meat rising

“Wheat prices nearly doubled in 2007 but prices have
pulled back substantially due to large harvest prospects this year, with feed
wheat especially in plentiful supply. Maize and feed barley markets are also
easing” Vernooij said.

Jorge de Saja, secretary general of Spain’s feed
makers association CESFAC said plunging wheat prices and expectations of
abundant low quality wheat in Britain and elsewhere could reduce costs for the
feed industry. He said this would likely lead to an easing in feed prices,
though only by a limited amount due to other costs such as energy and packaging.
French animal feed body SNIA also pointed to the high cost of ingredients such
as soy meal in a report.

Robert Newbery, poultry adviser at Britain’s
National Farmers’ Union (NFU) said: “Other significant costs like energy and
even inputs like water are getting more and more expensive so overall the input
costs are on the rise for poultry producers.” While poultry, with a shorter
lifecycle, responds more quickly to changes in production costs, there is less
of a correlation for other meats such as pork and beef. “It takes a while before
the supply in animals changes due to costs such as feed prices,” said Rabobank’s
Vernooij.

“For poultry, we could see an effect starting in three to six
months, for pork it should take more than a year and in beef you have not seen a
real reaction in prices to feeds costs, because that cycle takes two to three
years.”